Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#119
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#133
Pace71.1#89
Improvement+5.8#15

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#69
Improvement+3.4#38

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#185
Improvement+2.4#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four34.8% n/a n/a
First Round86.2% n/a n/a
Second Round5.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 40   @ Notre Dame L 53-59 17%     0 - 1 +7.3 -11.7 +18.9
  Nov 21, 2011 167   George Washington L 73-86 63%     0 - 2 -13.1 -2.8 -9.7
  Nov 22, 2011 126   @ Bowling Green L 61-67 39%     0 - 3 +0.2 -9.4 +9.8
  Nov 23, 2011 212   Austin Peay W 94-93 OT 72%     1 - 3 -1.6 +4.8 -6.6
  Nov 26, 2011 73   @ Akron L 63-81 26%     1 - 4 -7.8 -4.8 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2011 169   Youngstown St. L 61-64 75%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -6.6 -11.7 +5.0
  Dec 03, 2011 88   Cleveland St. L 61-66 55%     1 - 6 0 - 2 -2.9 -8.4 +5.4
  Dec 05, 2011 146   St. John's W 69-63 70%     2 - 6 +4.1 +0.2 +4.4
  Dec 08, 2011 175   Western Michigan W 92-81 76%     3 - 6 +7.1 +8.2 -2.0
  Dec 11, 2011 32   @ Alabama L 54-62 16%     3 - 7 +6.2 -2.6 +7.9
  Dec 17, 2011 70   Mississippi St. L 75-80 49%     3 - 8 -1.5 +1.4 -2.9
  Dec 22, 2011 320   Alabama St. W 80-56 95%     4 - 8 +8.4 -1.1 +7.9
  Dec 29, 2011 280   @ Illinois-Chicago L 59-63 75%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -7.5 -9.8 +1.9
  Dec 31, 2011 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 65-54 74%     5 - 9 1 - 3 +7.8 -0.1 +9.3
  Jan 06, 2012 144   Valparaiso L 71-73 69%     5 - 10 1 - 4 -3.8 -2.4 -1.4
  Jan 08, 2012 129   Butler W 76-65 66%     6 - 10 2 - 4 +10.2 +15.1 -3.7
  Jan 12, 2012 176   @ Green Bay W 80-73 52%     7 - 10 3 - 4 +9.8 +8.2 +1.5
  Jan 14, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-84 46%     7 - 11 3 - 5 -5.5 +3.4 -8.5
  Jan 21, 2012 214   Wright St. W 69-53 82%     8 - 11 4 - 5 +9.8 +7.1 +5.1
  Jan 25, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 67-52 89%     9 - 11 5 - 5 +5.0 +6.5 +2.1
  Jan 27, 2012 280   Illinois-Chicago W 70-66 89%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -6.3 -3.2 -2.8
  Feb 02, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 73-78 44%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +0.0 +6.3 -6.6
  Feb 04, 2012 129   @ Butler W 65-61 40%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +10.0 -1.0 +11.0
  Feb 10, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 58-57 71%     12 - 12 8 - 6 -1.3 -14.7 +13.4
  Feb 12, 2012 176   Green Bay W 77-74 76%     13 - 12 9 - 6 -1.0 +5.6 -6.5
  Feb 15, 2012 214   @ Wright St. W 71-55 61%     14 - 12 10 - 6 +16.6 +10.0 +8.3
  Feb 18, 2012 249   James Madison W 82-70 87%     15 - 12 +3.5 +6.8 -2.8
  Feb 23, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. L 64-77 30%     15 - 13 10 - 7 -4.1 -3.7 -0.2
  Feb 25, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. W 76-74 51%     16 - 13 11 - 7 +5.2 +7.8 -2.4
  Feb 28, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 80-71 89%     17 - 13 -1.0 -1.2 -0.3
  Mar 02, 2012 169   Youngstown St. W 93-76 64%     18 - 13 +16.8 +14.6 +1.7
  Mar 03, 2012 88   Cleveland St. W 63-58 42%     19 - 13 +10.5 -2.2 +13.0
  Mar 06, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso W 70-50 44%     20 - 13 +25.0 +2.9 +23.3
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.8 0.2 21.1 78.7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.2 21.1 78.7